Glasgowmancity Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Or the fibdems , that would freeze out the snp and avert a political crisis for the union . I doubt a Labour/Lib Dem coalition would be enough Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoobydoo Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Lib dems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishcumnock Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Would still need the tories to abstain/vote through the budget which could easily be done . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishcumnock Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Lib dems. libdems would know snp won't back the tories so could align with blue Ed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wheres the pies Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 l hope that the lid dems will be an irelenvence come Friday morning hope the kunts get wipe oot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrelhumper Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Can you put contituencies on an accumulator? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parklife Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Can you put contituencies on an accumulator? Bookies don't allow it. As effectively the likelihood (and therefore odds) of each constituency change based on the the results in other constituencies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
giblet Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics If you scroll down, every constituency is listed. hell, SNP 2/7 in Edinburgh South West (Balerno, Currie, Colinton). returned an MSP at last election but that is crazy. this is Darlings old seat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parklife Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 flipping hell, SNP 2/7 in Edinburgh South West (Balerno, Currie, Colinton). returned an MSP at last election but that is crazy. this is Darlings old seat. The odds on some of the seats are crazy. Massively odds on in almost every seat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 libdems would know snp won't back the tories so could align with blue Ed Aye that could be an interesting outcome. I suppose the Lib Dems most likely to lose their seats are the ones who have behaved most like Tories over the past 5 years. The more "liberal" Lib Dems (if they hold onto their seats) might be more inclined to side with Labour. If they can get SNP to agree to abstain on the confidence vote they could form a LIbLab coalition minority government. SNP agree to help them (or not) on a vote by vote basis. Still think the Tories will win though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlfieMoon Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 flipping hell, SNP 2/7 in Edinburgh South West (Balerno, Currie, Colinton). returned an MSP at last election but that is crazy. this is Darlings old seat. SNP have a QC going for this seat. Labour have a city Councillor going for this to replace Darling. Joanna Cherry QC (pictured right) has been selected by the SNP as their candidate for Edinburgh South West in the general election. The seat been represented by a member of the Faculty of Advocates since 1974, with Malcolm Rifkind QC, Linda Clark QC and, currently, Alastair Darling, who is standing down at the election. http://www.scottishlegal.com/2015/02/19/joanna-cherry-qc-chosen-snp-candidate-edinburgh-south-west/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pool Q Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 (edited) A Labour/Lib Dem coalition is looking increasingly likely to me Their tactic will probably be to play chicken with the SNP at Westminster, daring them to vote the government down on any confidence votes. Threats of another General Election and Tories back in power card, memories of 1979 etc. In Scotland I think the polls have created such high expectations for the SNP that almost anything might feel (however mistakenly when put in a proper context) like a let down. I think the Lib Dems may keep a few seats based on tactical, anti-SNP, pro-Union voting. Tribalism and Shy Labour voting will surely also see Labour hang on here and there. SNP with 40 seats maybe, be interesting to see what influence they can then have in a hung parliament. Edited May 6, 2015 by Pool Q Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlfieMoon Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 A Labour/Lib Dem coalition is looking increasingly likely to me Their tactic will probably be to play chicken with the SNP at Westminster, daring them to vote the government down on any confidence votes. Threats of another General Election and Tories back in power card, memories of 1979 etched. In Scotland I think the polls have created such high expectations for the SNP that almost anything might feel (however mistakenly when put in a proper context) like a let down. I think the Lib Dems may keep a few seats based on tactical, anti-SNP, pro-Union voting. Tribalism and Shy Labour voting will surely also see Labour hang on here and there. SNP with 40 seats maybe, be interesting to see what influence they can then have in a hung parliament. Libs have already made their bed in that situation. They backed the tories because they had the most seats. This will be the case again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Libs have already made their bed in that situation. They backed the tories because they had the most seats. This will be the case again. I think that depends who is in charge, and that in turn depends on who wins and loses their seats. The Lib Dem leadership could be very different after this election. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bannannan Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Libs have already made their bed in that situation. They backed the tories because they had the most seats. This will be the case again. agreed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/percentage-vote-snp-scot Just 2/7 for the SNP to be over 50% of the Scottish vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 Panelbase: SNP - 48% (N/C) Lab - 26% (-1) Con - 14% (-2%) Lib - 5% (+1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 ITN poll there has Labour as the largest party! Combined with their predicted 55 SNP seats it would make a comfortable majority... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlfieMoon Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 ITN poll there has Labour as the largest party! Combined with their predicted 55 SNP seats it would make a comfortable majority... Would be interesting. How many Lab seats did it predict? Labour are very much currently playing the card that the SNP can't dare to vote against them. I'm sorry - but if you are unwilling to make any concessions to what would be the 3rd largest party who have been democratically voted to represent a huge portion of a country, then I don't see how you are respecting the views of Scotland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mox Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Is it possible for Labour to have the highest number of votes but fewer seats than the Tories? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Is it possible for Labour to have the highest number of votes but fewer seats than the Tories? Yes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irnbruman Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 ITN poll fascinating. Labour 288, Tories 279 , Lib Dems 15 , SNP 55. Well if Labour have a coalition with Lib Dems and ignore SNP , this would leave SNP having to vote down Labour & Lib Dem coalition if they are ignored. Fascinating - that's almost a perfect result - just 4 more seats for SNP then I'll be perfectly happy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlfieMoon Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 ITN poll fascinating. Labour 288, Tories 279 , Lib Dems 15 , SNP 55. Well if Labour have a coalition with Lib Dems and ignore SNP , this would leave SNP having to vote down Labour & Lib Dem coalition if they are ignored. Fascinating - that's almost a perfect result - just 4 more seats for SNP then I'll be perfectly happy. SNP can't afford to vote down labour IMO. They would abstain I reckon. They would have to let them govern then vote against them where they disagree. They actually agree on a fair bit, with the exception of spending and trident (which would go through anyway with Tory support). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mariokempes56 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 B. B. c...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cove_Sheep Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Labour type on twitter, including the normally very sensible Dr Eoin Clarke are getting a bit excited about tonight's YouGov poll which has the SNP on 48 & LAB on 27 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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