Parklife Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 REVISED MAP SNP - 37 LAB - 21 CON - 2 LIB - 1 Both falkirk seats to snp? My dad will go daft. Canny wait Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Armchair Bob Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 (edited) Woo hoo Argyll! GIRFUY Alan Reid! Edit: of course, I realise this is just a prediction... Edited January 28, 2015 by Armchair Bob Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mariokempes56 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 ##kin Borders.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
exile Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I say we give Orkney and Shetland back to Norway. Strange, strange people living there. The local lib dem MP could go around pissing on everyone and still get voted in. I thought Orkney and Shetland were known for voting as much for the person as the party. If so it makes a change from the 'cabbage wearing the rosette' argument. Presumably their candidate could go piss on everyone except Orkney and Shetland and get in - and why not? It's up to the Scottish Govt to pay the islands sufficient attention that makes remoteness from Edinburgh not half as remote as remoteness from Westminster. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Do you have a constituency breakdown? Who is projected to lose their seats and percentages etc? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 Do you have a constituency breakdown? Who is projected to lose their seats and percentages etc? https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R50d13l48XeYbQbySjV982TFD5A9oZwiGLyxxGq1Hic/edit?usp=sharing Hopefully this works... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ally Bongo Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Trust me - If the SNP take my constituency Lanark & Hamilton East they will win at least 50 !! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R50d13l48XeYbQbySjV982TFD5A9oZwiGLyxxGq1Hic/edit?usp=sharing Hopefully this works... Excellent, thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rossy Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I'd love to see that arrogant wee turd Alexander lose his seat in Inverness. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I'd love to see that arrogant wee turd Alexander lose his seat in Inverness. Even though I don't live in that constituency he is the person I would like to see lose his seat the most. I would take the SNP not winning my seat if it meant they beat Alexander in Inverness. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maq Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I'd love to see that arrogant wee turd Alexander lose his seat in Inverness. Gun to my head, if I HAD to pick one Alexander to get rid of, I'd have to choose Doogie over Danny. Getting rid of both of them is the stuff of dreams Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
northernscum Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I'd love to see that arrogant wee turd Alexander lose his seat in Inverness. I would give him a lend of my van for free, to empty his office. Such would be my delight at this prospect! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest flumax Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Alexander, number one for me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrelhumper Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 http://news.sky.com/story/1416764/snp-surge-is-real-says-pollster-lord-ashcroft Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usainboltyarocket Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 UKIP 2 seat would love that. However much joy 53 seats would give me I doubt we will get close to that. Anything around 30 would be fantastic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
giblet Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 joined ashcroft mailing list to see this next week, should be interesting. Part of me thinks though SNP are getting set up here for a fall though. No way will they get 40+ seats. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aljay Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Jim Murphy is my MP. who should I be encouraging everybody in the neighbourhood to vote for to get him out? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest flumax Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 joined ashcroft mailing list to see this next week, should be interesting. Part of me thinks though SNP are getting set up here for a fall though. No way will they get 40+ seats. Agreed, a quadrupling of seats to 24 will be seen as failure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Jim Murphy is my MP. who should I be encouraging everybody in the neighbourhood to vote for to get him out? SNP. Although going by Clyde's list his seat is the second safest labour seat behind Kircaldy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I thought the Tories were targeting Murphy's seat?... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErsatzThistle Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 No chance in hell of the Tories winning Murphy's seat. They had a good chance in 2010 to unseat him but Murphy's vote went up instead. The yuppie crowd in Mearns, Clarkston, Giffnock and Busby love Murphy. He can do no wrong. He also has a loyal pensioner vote too. He'll be re-elected here no bother sadly. Also if UKIP stand a candidate here, that will split the Tory vote. One bright note is that the SNP vote did increase in 2005 and 2010. Hopefully that trend continues shortly. We should be looking at taking some Lib Dem votes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 I thought the Tories were targeting Murphy's seat?... My list was a based on a Survation poll that showed the distribution of 2010 voters to 2015 voting intentions (ie Labour to SNP, Lib Dem to Labour, etc.) The poll suggested that about 26% of Labour voters in 2010 will vote SNP - as Labour hold the seat, that's a huge amount of votes going to the SNP. That moves the Conservatives into third on my figures. I'll update the list throughout the campaign - to reflect changes in national and constituency polls, as well as local factors such as historical support and targeted seats. This will lead to a final prediction in May (someone remind me). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aljay Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The yuppie crowd in Mearns, Clarkston, Giffnock and Busby love Murphy. He can do no wrong. I live in Newton Mearns. Everyone I know thinks Murphy is a slimy c**t. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stocky Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 (edited) No chance in hell of the Tories winning Murphy's seat. They had a good chance in 2010 to unseat him but Murphy's vote went up instead. The yuppie crowd in Mearns, Clarkston, Giffnock and Busby love Murphy. He can do no wrong. He also has a loyal pensioner vote too. He'll be re-elected here no bother sadly. Also if UKIP stand a candidate here, that will split the Tory vote. One bright note is that the SNP vote did increase in 2005 and 2010. Hopefully that trend continues shortly. We should be looking at taking some Lib Dem votes. i dont know, i think the Tories will do well there, a few Labour going to snp, Tories rejuvenated thanx to the Liebour party at the Ref... There was a massive turnout in East Ren,,. 92% I think at REF... these guys are up for it.. Question for SNP .. should they vote Tory to get rid of Jim Smurfy.... a tory or Smurphy have no real policy differences, except one says he isnt a unionist, but he is, the others admit they are unionist... although looking at last time 77% turnout... SNP are miles behind, even in these exciting times... where will the lib vote go, they beat snp last time.... for the long term good, i for one would not be disappointed to see the Tories( blue) win here... Jim Murphy Labour 25,987 50.8 +6.9 Richard Cook Conservative 15,567 30.4 +0.5 Gordon MacDonald Liberal Democrat 4,720 9.2 -9.0 Gordon ArcherScottish National Party 4,535 8.9 +2.0 Donald MackayUK Independence Party 372 0.7 +0.7 Majority 10,420 20.4 Turnout 51,181 77.3 +5. Edited January 29, 2015 by stocky Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flure Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Are we sure that Murphy is standing for WM? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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