Squirrelhumper Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 You Gov has SNP with 46 seats. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
northernscum Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 "SNP" VOTE IN FREEFALL!!!!! READ ALL ABOUT IT IN TOMORROWS DAILY RECORD!!!!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flure Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robroysboy Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 "SNP" VOTE IN FREEFALL!!!!! READ ALL ABOUT IT IN TOMORROWS DAILY RECORD!!!!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Margin of error noise - hopefully we can hold out until May... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Looks like September 18th was indeed a watershed! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robroysboy Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Watching Jim Murphy squirm is very appealing. Every cloud i suppose. GIRUY Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derekfaejapan Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 "SNP" VOTE IN FREEFALL!!!!! READ ALL ABOUT IT IN TOMORROWS DAILY RECORD!!!!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King Of Paisley Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Latest Election Calculus poll also has the SNP at 46 seats (samples taken between 12 Feb and 11 Mar). Not sure how accurate that is though, that poll has the SNP taking Orkney and Shetland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewelk Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Murphy's PR twist machine is such that he'll come out of ANY result looking vaguely heroic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parklife Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Anything above 30 seats would be sensational. Knocking Curran/Davidson/Alexander (x2) off their pegs would be incredibly satisfying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maq Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 and Sarwar please Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 and Sarwar please What's happened to him? Never used to be aff the telly... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Auld_Reekie Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Polling was conducted after Scottish Labour's conference and the inevitable media push, vote is holding up pretty well. Be interesting to see next polling figures after the GERS figures were released, and again, the inevitable media push. The polling is so consistent now though that this is looking like it's happening. I'm still expecting SNP to be somewhere between 20 and 30 seats but the more the polls stay static the more confident I get. Still plenty to happen though- TV debates, whether or not Miliband rules out TV deal, manifestos, etc. As commentators rightly point out though, if you voted Yes in September, why would you even bother voting Unionist in May? Im just hoping the SNP manifesto is very clear about three things: 1. The party still believes in independence. 2. But there will be no push for a referendum in the next parliament - an exit from the EU will trigger a snap referendum however. 3. The party's core policy for the next parliament is to demand what was promised in the referendum campaign: home rule or federalism. I think if the SNP do that, they shore up as much as possible of the 45% that voted Yes. Might be more, but the core vote will deliver a massive win in May. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewelk Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 30 seats RESILIANT MURPHY STEMS FLOW TO NATIONALISTS Daily Record exclusive interview with our Jim Read more inside Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitre Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 and Sarwar please And Jimmy Hood & Frank Roy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cove_Sheep Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 I'm guessing this is the poll I took part in the other day. They were also polling about how you'd vote today if there was another referendum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weekevie04 Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Poll looks good. Holding up with 8 weeks to go. Gerry Hasan's tweeting some interesting stuff - 85% Yes voters now back the SNP. 7% of No voters backing them. What next for the press to bombard Jockland wth after Murphy, Labour, NHS figures? Guessing GERS figures. On a special note, delightful to see Murphy's rating down 7% too from February. Still tons of work to be done though for anything like this to be reality. And still expecting the numbers to squeeze at somepoint. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Auld_Reekie Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Poll looks good. Still tons of work to be done though for anything like this to be reality. And still expecting the numbers to squeeze at somepoint. Yep. But the longer the polls stay static the more difficult it is to see what Labour can do to stop this. They've spent so long digging this trench, hard to see how they get out of it. GERS figures might make a difference but really, we've been through the GERS debate in the referendum so it's nothing new to voters. Manifestos might spring a surprise but it looks like the constitution is now the de-facto faultline. Devo max and home rule now looking like it might be Labour's last stand if they ever had the balls. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tartandon Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Gerry Hasan's tweeting some interesting stuff - 85% Yes voters now back the SNP. 7% of No voters backing them. If those numbers are correct, that would mean 42% of the electorate back SNP, while 58% of the electorate back all the other parties combined. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 (edited) Poll looks good. Holding up with 8 weeks to go. Gerry Hasan's tweeting some interesting stuff - 85% Yes voters now back the SNP. 7% of No voters backing them. What next for the press to bombard Jockland wth after Murphy, Labour, NHS figures? Guessing GERS figures. On a special note, delightful to see Murphy's rating down 7% too from February. Still tons of work to be done though for anything like this to be reality. And still expecting the numbers to squeeze at somepoint. That's surprising! I'd never have thought as much as 15% of Yes voters would be sensible, or at the very least be able to think for themselves. Edited March 13, 2015 by Scunnered Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BremnerLorimerGray Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 And Jimmy Hood & Frank Roy Every Lanarkshire Labour MP beaten would be excellent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamntg Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 That's surprising! I'd never have thought as much as 15% of Yes voters would be sensible, or at the very least be able to think for themselves. The other 15% are voting Green. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Auld_Reekie Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 That's surprising! I'd never have thought as much as 15% of Yes voters would be sensible, or at the very least be able to think for themselves. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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