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Scottish Parliament:

Constituency polling:

  • SNP - 48.0%
  • LAB - 27.7%
  • CON - 12.7%
  • LIB - 4.7%
  • GRN - 3.7%
  • UKIP - 2.3%
  • Others - 0.8%

List polling:

  • SNP - 38.6%
  • LAB - 22.1%
  • GRN - 13.1%
  • CON - 12.0%
  • LIB - 6.5%
  • UKIP - 6.5%
  • Others - 1.2%

Seat projection:

  • SNP - 65 (-4)
  • LAB - 29 (-8)
  • GRN - 13 (+11)
  • CON - 12 (-3)
  • LIB - 6 (+1)
  • UKIP - 4 (+4)
  • Other - 0 (-1)

So predicts SNP clinging to an overall majority of 1, and Greens the 3rd biggest party ahead of Cons and Libs. And a UKIP bridgehead. (But no socialists.)

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Think the message is 'be possitive' rather than criticising the opposition; let them make their own mistakes.

I think most people would prefer something along the likes of "Vote SNP, get...a party that will oppose austerity, fight to remove Trident, and work tirelessly for a better deal for Scotland". Most people must be sick of this "Vote x get y" nonsense by now.

I agree a positive message is preferable but, let's be honest, when the SNP get on the telly or in the papers they are always replying to some made up claim or another from Labour. The softly softly approach almost worked in the referendum but almost is not good enough. Some more time on the offensive and with Labour on the back foot is what I want to see. They need to shout from the rooftops about how Labour (and the LD's) back Trident and austerity and how them and the tories are just different shades of the same establishment shite.

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We cannot afford to be the nice-guy anymore. This clown Murphy's already all over the shop - he should be getting hammered.

Like Big Dog says, we spend half our time defending out and out lies, which a decent / normal media would see through prior to them even making it to a debating scenario.

Some of the stuff on Wings just now is fantastic. I never even knew a complaint against the Daily Labour regarding the 'Vow' was upheld by the Press Complaints Commission.

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I agree a positive message is preferable but, let's be honest, when the SNP get on the telly or in the papers they are always replying to some made up claim or another from Labour. The softly softly approach almost worked in the referendum but almost is not good enough. Some more time on the offensive and with Labour on the back foot is what I want to see. They need to shout from the rooftops about how Labour (and the LD's) back Trident and austerity and how them and the tories are just different shades of the same establishment shite.

This mentions some of the tactics about how to get at the opposition

How to win the election: Political speeches are no longer delivered but 'framed' to ensure you hear the core message

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/how-to-win-the-election-political-speeches-are-no-longer-delivered-but-framed-to-ensure-you-hear-the-core-message-10057834.html

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I agree a positive message is preferable but, let's be honest, when the SNP get on the telly or in the papers they are always replying to some made up claim or another from Labour. The softly softly approach almost worked in the referendum but almost is not good enough. Some more time on the offensive and with Labour on the back foot is what I want to see. They need to shout from the rooftops about how Labour (and the LD's) back Trident and austerity and how them and the tories are just different shades of the same establishment shite.

We cannot afford to be the nice-guy anymore. This clown Murphy's already all over the shop - he should be getting hammered.

Like Big Dog says, we spend half our time defending out and out lies, which a decent / normal media would see through prior to them even making it to a debating scenario.

Some of the stuff on Wings just now is fantastic. I never even knew a complaint against the Daily Labour regarding the 'Vow' was upheld by the Press Complaints Commission.

I get where you are both coming from, but the difference between this G E campaign and the referendum is that this time 'we' are starting in the lead (if the polls are accurate). The SNP can go on the attack in a much subtler way, by emphasising what they are rather than what the opposition is not.
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  • 4 weeks later...

The people who published the figures seem to have deleted their message :angry: - maybe they were published before they were supposed to be...

The poll is being published by Survation tonight for the Daily Record - hopefully they'll show the same numbers... :unsure:

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No 7 will leave Scunnered ,scunnered

  1. Ochil and South Perthshire — 91% likely to vote SNP
  2. Dundee West — 100% Ashcroft poll: SNP +34
  3. Argyll and Bute (Lib Dem-held) — 95%
  4. Falkirk (Labour seat until whip withdrawn) — 100%
  5. Inverness Nairn — 100% Ashcroft: SNP +29
  6. Caithness Sutherland (Lib Dem) — 91%
  7. Ayshire North — 94%
  8. Dunbartonshire East (Lib Dem) — 63%
  9. Cumbernauld — 96% Ashcroft: SNP +18
  10. Gordon (Lib Dem) — 87% Ashcroft: SNP +17
  11. Fife North East (Lib Dem) — 93%
  12. Glasgow East — 82% Ashcroft: SNP +14
  13. Aberdeenshire West (Lib Dem) — 82% Ashcroft: SNP +14
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http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/03/election-2015-your-complete-guide-predictions-about-scotland-and-snp

The place that does the figures...

if you area a poll junkie this is a good read

for thise that are not around 40 seats for snp is the most popular outcome

Edited by stocky
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No 7 will leave Scunnered ,scunnered

  1. Ochil and South Perthshire — 91% likely to vote SNP
  2. Dundee West — 100% Ashcroft poll: SNP +34
  3. Argyll and Bute (Lib Dem-held) — 95%
  4. Falkirk (Labour seat until whip withdrawn) — 100%
  5. Inverness Nairn — 100% Ashcroft: SNP +29
  6. Caithness Sutherland (Lib Dem) — 91%
  7. Ayshire North — 94%
  8. Dunbartonshire East (Lib Dem) — 63%
  9. Cumbernauld — 96% Ashcroft: SNP +18
  10. Gordon (Lib Dem) — 87% Ashcroft: SNP +17
  11. Fife North East (Lib Dem) — 93%
  12. Glasgow East — 82% Ashcroft: SNP +14
  13. Aberdeenshire West (Lib Dem) — 82% Ashcroft: SNP +14

Wrong constituency I think?

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I am currently having a discussion with a freind who works for the conservatives and he say party polling has cameron winning by a fraction, the lib dems completely finished(as we all know) and the snp hovering around 20 seats.. Has there been any polling done by the snp and if so is there any indiaction what their seat count may be

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