hampden_loon2878 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 So can anyone on here who canvasses for the Snp back up the polls or as most think are they a little too much optimistic? I seen a lad on twitter saying a third of conservitive voters in e.renfrewshire intend voting labour to keep out the snp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scotlad Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Aberdeen is called Rainbow City? It's because its football team regularly bungles. I'll get my coat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flora MaDonald Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 So can anyone on here who canvasses for the Snp back up the polls or as most think are they a little too much optimistic? I seen a lad on twitter saying a third of conservitive voters in e.renfrewshire intend voting labour to keep out the snp I've been out a fair bit (Glasgow South). Harris'll be oot on his unionist arse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wine bibber Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 So can anyone on here who canvasses for the Snp back up the polls or as most think are they a little too much optimistic? I seen a lad on twitter saying a third of conservitive voters in e.renfrewshire intend voting labour to keep out the snp The feedback i am getting is that it is definitely happening.Very difficult to gauge a percentage though ,but it will cost the SNP a few seats IMO.However also making people angry and some Labour and Liberals now say they are voting SNP.I think the fall out from this might carry on to the Scottish elections next year . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlie Endell Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 I've been out a fair bit (Glasgow South). Harris'll be oot on his unionist arse. I've been out a fair bit (Glasgow South). Harris'll be oot on his unionist arse. Aye, we passed each other on Langside Drive at 4ish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mindimoo Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 I've been out a fair bit (Glasgow South). Harris'll be oot on his unionist arse. Aye, we passed each other on Langside Drive at 4ish. Were you both out canvassing/leafleting for the same party? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlie Endell Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Were you both out canvassing/leafleting for the same party? We passed each other in our motors - I wasn't canvassing - no idea what Flora was up to! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mindimoo Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 We passed each other in our motors - I wasn't canvassing - no idea what Flora was up to! Was he carrying a piano stool or other random musical accessory? Did you beep him? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flora MaDonald Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 We passed each other in our motors - I wasn't canvassing - no idea what Flora was up to! The auld dear treated me to lunch at the White Cart. Didn't see you - apologies. I'd have flashed my lights, but the electric shock wisna worth the hassle! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlie Endell Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Was he carrying a piano stool or other random musical accessory? Did you beep him? No, but I honestly wouldn't have been surprised if he'd had a piano strapped to the boot. He was level with me before I could confirm it was him (I was stopped at the lights and he passed me by heading in the opposite direction). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlie Endell Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) The auld dear treated me to lunch at the White Cart. Didn't see you - apologies. I'd have flashed my lights, but the electric shock wisna worth the hassle! I'd already had an electric shock - 80 quid for a new battery earlier - the perils of ultra low-mileage motoring. Edited May 2, 2015 by Charlie Endell Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted May 2, 2015 Author Share Posted May 2, 2015 I found the Survation/Daily Record datasets for ScotGoesPop:A few interesting points:Should Scotland be an independent country?Yes - 45.8%No - 46.9%DK - 7.2%Yes - 49.4%No - 50.6%If there was a referendum ... on whether the UK should remain a member of the European Union, how do you think you would vote?Stay In - 52.5%Leave - 26.5%DK - 21.0%Stay In - 66.5%Leave - 33.5% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flure Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 I found the Survation/Daily Record datasets for ScotGoesPop: A few interesting points: Should Scotland be an independent country? Yes - 45.8% No - 46.9% DK - 7.2% Yes - 49.4% No - 50.6% If there was a referendum ... on whether the UK should remain a member of the European Union, how do you think you would vote? Stay In - 52.5% Leave - 26.5% DK - 21.0% Stay In - 66.5% Leave - 33.5% Who was polled? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted May 2, 2015 Author Share Posted May 2, 2015 Who was polled? Survation members - don't know who they are though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hampden_loon2878 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 From my kneck of the woods in bannf and buchan,the conservatives seem to be pushing extremely hard, they have sign posts everywhere,,,, it has been safe snp my whole life, i hope that doesnt change after this election,,,anyone know of the area has been polled? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted May 2, 2015 Author Share Posted May 2, 2015 From my kneck of the woods in bannf and buchan,the conservatives seem to be pushing extremely hard, they have sign posts everywhere,,,, it has been safe snp my whole life, i hope that doesnt change after this election,,,anyone know of the area has been polled? No current SNP areas have been polled. I fear places like Moray, Banff & Buchan and Angus could be lost - very large no voting areas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacobite Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 No current SNP areas have been polled. I fear places like Moray, Banff & Buchan and Angus could be lost - very large no voting areas. They say the bookies aren't often wrong and a quick check of the odds for those seats would suggest we should be OK. I hope. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weekevie04 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 I don't think we'll lose any of those seats. Angus will definitely not go Tory. I don't know enough about the other two. Same with the Western Isles, Dundee East and Perth. Most predictors have Western Isles having ths strongest percentage of SNP vote with Dundee East second. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
exile Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) No current SNP areas have been polled. I fear places like Moray, Banff & Buchan and Angus could be lost - very large no voting areas. By coincidence I came across this - coverage of 1979 election, when SNP were routed in exactly those areas, as they turned Tory, and lost 9 out of 11 seats - never to be as high as 11 again The bit is from 1:09 The commentator implies the loss was due to voting down a Labour government... Edited May 2, 2015 by exile Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AberdeenAngus Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 SNP are 1/100 on to win Angus. Would be amazed if the near 4k majority doesn't see a decent increase. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stapes Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) New Scottish @YouGov Poll... SNP: 49% (-) LAB: 26% (+1) CON: 15% (-2) LIB: 7% (+2) UKP: 2% (-1) GRN: 1% (-) On uniform swing SNP 54 seats Lab 4 LD 1 Con 0 Edited May 2, 2015 by Stapes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cove_Sheep Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Ian Dale's final Scottish predictions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 No current SNP areas have been polled. I fear places like Moray, Banff & Buchan and Angus could be lost - very large no voting areas.Angus won't be lost, absolutely no doubt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted May 2, 2015 Author Share Posted May 2, 2015 New Scottish @YouGov Poll... SNP: 49% (-) LAB: 26% (+1) CON: 15% (-2) LIB: 7% (+2) UKP: 2% (-1) GRN: 1% (-) On uniform swing SNP 54 seats Lab 4 LD 1 Con 0 Margin of error changes then. Hopefully this result is replicated on Thursday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Souness' 'tache Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) Ian Dale's final Scottish predictions Just read through them all. There are some absolutely huge Labour majorities in that lot, still find it hard to think the SNP will take as many seats as being predicted. Think some of the names I'd love to see out of a job might survive (sadly). Tom Clarke losing a 21k majority must be unheard of, even if it's predicted as a narrow marginal seat. Edited May 2, 2015 by Souness' 'tache Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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