phart Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Parklife said: Tory majority government, thanks to the teuchters and Edinburgers. That'd wonderfully highlight how densely populated these areas are with selfish khunts. Aberdeen West 99% chance Tory. I think another constituency as well, or maybe 2 more. The result will be what it is. WE'll probably get to do it all again soon anyway. Fecking shambles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aaid Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Saw a tweet from Phillip Sim (BBC) projecting 6 Tory gains, 4 lib Dems and 1 labour. Which only makes 11 seats so it doesn't add up at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ally Bongo Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phart Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) 2 minutes ago, aaid said: Saw a tweet from Phillip Sim (BBC) projecting 6 Tory gains, 4 lib Dems and 1 labour. Which only makes 11 seats so it doesn't add up at all. It'll be to do with the percentage chance, they'll predict on 80% or more, the rest they wont predict but will just put in the final result. That's directly from the page i linked earlier however you can go even deeper into the figures. Edited June 8, 2017 by phart Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King Of Paisley Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Newcastle Central declared first. Labour hold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
min Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 1 minute ago, aaid said: Saw a tweet from Phillip Sim (BBC) projecting 6 Tory gains, 4 lib Dems and 1 labour. Which only makes 11 seats so it doesn't add up at all. Those figures make much more sense. The exit poll has Moray 99% of being Tory and Salmond only a 49% chance of retaining Gordon. Sounds like nonsense to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aaid Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, phart said: It'll be to do with the percentage chance, they'll predict on 80% or more, the rest they wont predict but will just put in the final result. That's directly from the page i linked earlier however you can go even deeper into the figures. Yeah, he's just put another tweet out with the "too close to call" which look all over the place. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weekevie04 Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 39 minutes ago, Parklife said: Some. My biggest win would be Labour 226-250 seats. I'd rather win smaller financially though and Labour win bigger. Hopefully you win a bit of cash! I'm hoping so likewise - tons of Labour holds put on. Didn't touch Scotland and thank ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phart Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, aaid said: Yeah, he's just put another tweet out with the "too close to call" which look all over the place. Yeah loads more too close to call than "near certain". So if the "too close to calls affect" Tory more than labour there's a chance it could be an even worse night for the Tories, and a commensurately better night for the SNP than the final numbers on the exit polls say. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ally Bongo Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 James Kelly says that " the Scottish prediction is NOT a crude projection based on UK national vote shares - it's based firmly on Scotland-specific polling" Think it would be unwise to think it's wrong especially as 2015 was almost bang on It does fly in the face of 99% of opinion polls up to yesterday which is probably why folk are sceptical - but doesnt make it wrong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlfieMoon Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 SNP are on a hiding to nothing. Freak result in gaining a majority in Holyrood 2011 and a ridiculously high level of motivated pro-Indy/post-referendum voting in GE 2015. They went from 6 seats to 56/59. 6 fecking seats!! That level of pro-Indy voter motivation is obviously going to fade from 2015 levels. Add in Corbyn factor + Brexiteers and it's going to be tough. I think one thing that SNP supporters need to do is have a bit of a reality check. It may have been exciting to near clear up on the seats in 2015 but wanting to maintain that winning feeling is akin to expecting your team to go out and win every game 10-1. The crest of a wave that was 2015 needs to calm and everyone needs to take a breath. Post 2014 referendum everyone thought we'd be in it for the long haul (rather than getting a quick chance - like Brexit). This may now be the real dust settling for the long term battle lines to be drawn. Although... feck knows if we could end up with another GE soon! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wembley67lisbon Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 I'll go 42 snp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShedTA Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 54 minutes ago, phart said: looking at the exit poll. 7 tory seats in scotland Dear me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShedTA Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, wembley67lisbon said: I'll go 42 snp More than 40 and i can handle that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hampden_loon2878 Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 We are in for a thumping,,simple as!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ally Bongo Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Josephine CumboVerified account @JosephineCumbo Crikey! BBC now saying if exit poll as wrong in rest of vote as it was in first two seats called then Cons could have 80 seat majority. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weekevie04 Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, hampden_loon2878 said: We are in for a thumping,,simple as!!! And we should never have doubted you (if so) Let's see back and see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phart Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) UKIP share of the vote non-existent now, but Tories and Labour up. I'd not start extrapolating yet, but Tory vote is up more. Edited June 8, 2017 by phart Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ally Bongo Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Chris Cairns @cairnstoon Pollster on @SkyNews just admitted the range of SNP total in exit poll is from 21 to 50. In other words #useless Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wheres the pies Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Rudd looking like she could lose her seat to labour according to the BBC report from Hastings Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamntg Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 1 hour ago, phart said: looking at the exit poll. 7 tory seats in scotland The things you see when you don't have your gun. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveyDenoon Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) Murdo Fraser truly is a grade A prikk Edited June 8, 2017 by DaveyDenoon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phart Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 hey i'm just the messenger mate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bristolhibby Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 1 hour ago, 86glebestreet said: I think the tories will still get enough to have overall majority, Shy Tories lying to pollsters because they are shamed with their choice. Or simply not answering pollsters. What we will never know is what people who refuse to answer actually voted. SNP projection from the exit poll seems very low. J Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bristolhibby Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 43 minutes ago, Marky said: 10 polling stations apparently!! WTF!! WHATTT? I may as well give you my best guess. J Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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