giblet Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Final Guardian/ICM poll has SNP taking 52 seats. Labour + SNP + Green = 326 (a majority) http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/07/labour-one-point-lead-tories-final-icm-poll add Plaid to that mix and you have +5 majority I reckon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saintlyscot Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Was looking at some of the seats with historical huge labour majorities. These seats like Glasgow East traditionally have very low turnout due to apathy etc. This time with the referendum bounce making people politcally active turnout could well be mid 50's + and the vast majority of new voters will be voting snp. Taken in this context it is not so difficult to see huge swings and some or most being toppled. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stocky Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Was looking at some of the seats with historical huge labour majorities. These seats like Glasgow East traditionally have very low turnout due to apathy etc. This time with the referendum bounce making people politcally active turnout could well be mid 50's + and the vast majority of new voters will be voting snp. Taken in this context it is not so difficult to see huge swings and some or most being toppled. aye, but we want a prediction Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ally Bongo Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 To be fair, nobody I've spoken to about it down here seems to care all that much. Although I live in a safe Labour constituency, work in a University and am careful who I talk politics to, so that may not be particularly representative. If the comments on most of the Facebook Politics threads are anything to go by the media has certainly done the job Its not just the Telegraph and the Daily Mail BBC Newsnight had some twat on saying that if Labour was propped up by the SNP there would be riots in the streets Now if Evan Davis had any balls he should have said - well if there is i hope your door is the first the Police chap - but he just smirked and let it go Youve also seen the clip from South East news where the headline was Cameron saying dont ship money from the SE to Scotland Its been totally insidious Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Laud Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I just cant get my head round us winning all these seats.i will settle for murphys,currans,alexanders,davidsons,sarwars and browns old seat.this will make me a happy man. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I am going for 22 for SNP. Anything over 30 would be absolutely fantastic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tartandon Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I am going for 22 for SNP. Anything over 30 would be absolutely fantastic. well, you've just put a downer on things pal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 well, you've just put a downer on things pal Folk are just getting carried away with themselves. A hefty dose of realism is required IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thplinth Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 (edited) Scummy labour kunts - 12 Tory wanks - 1 Libdem vermin - No idea... maybe (edit:10 to) 3 SNP - balance. Edited May 7, 2015 by thplinth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 SNP - balance. That's jist a height of fukin laziness. Could you not be bothered counting? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weekevie04 Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I don't have a clue. I'm avoiding Twitter etc - ''Labour hopefully of saving half of their seats in Glasgow'' ''low turnout'' etc. See what happens at 9.55pm. I'd be delighted with anything over 30. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Col Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I put a 5er on SNP winning between 30-39 seats @ 10/1. So it will either be 29 or 40 seats for the SNP going by my luck at the bookies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weekevie04 Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I'll go with SNP 38 Lab 17 Libs 2 Tories 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deedee Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 We will get to see Danny Alexander, Margaret Curran, Tom Harris and Tom Clarke bite the dust. I fear wee Dougie will sneak back in alongside Murphy. Tom Harris is my mp. Be extremely happy to see him lose his seat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Govanhill Jacobite Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Tom Harris is my mp. Be extremely happy to see him lose his seat. He is my MP also and will be raging if that person(being nice) gets back in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robroysboy Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 SNP 45 labour 10 Lib 3 Con 1 We are the 45 after all Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1ANDYP Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Just been in to vote Harris out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1ANDYP Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Even money under 50 seats at w/ hill Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Govanhill Jacobite Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Just been in to vote Harris out :ok: :ok: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
min Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 SNP - 32 Labour - 21 Libs - 3 Tories - 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1ANDYP Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 :ok: :ok: I'm going to the Croft I am a bag of nerves after you sent me that text. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ally Bongo Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 (edited) Even money under 50 seats at w/ hill That should tell you something (maybe) Bookies are no daft If they thought the SNP would get under 50 it would be well odds on 8/11 for 51 and over Shocked at that masel - the bookies think they will get over 50 Edited May 7, 2015 by Ally Bongo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King Of Paisley Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 SNP - 48 Unionists - can fight amongst the scraps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Single figures for Labour. Probably close to 10 but if around 5 or below I will literally pish myself laughing for a week; no a month. Literally? He used literally correctly. Last years update of the Oxford and Cambridge dictionaries included the new definition. I literally turned blue with rage at it, but its bloody true sadly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Govanhill Jacobite Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 I'm going to the Croft I am a bag of nerves after you sent me that text. Aye on my first drink also, nervous wreck pal, Enjoy the croft, any info I get will text you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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