AberdeenAngus Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 If there are people who shape their vote as such... They should be murdered. Violently. I'm talking ice Picks! I'm convinced there are a reasonable percentage who see which way the wind is blowing and decide to throw their lot in. The media have also had a big part to play in the past but the events pre & post September 18th now appear to have changed politics in Scotland and maybe the UK for good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aaid Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Have to admit I ripped that stat from Wikipedia so its veracity can't be guaranteed.... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottish_Parliament_general_election,_2011#Opinion_polls This link has more detail. http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_in_the_Scottish_Parliament_election,_2011 The SNP did show a lead in ONE poll on 14 February and it wasn't until the end of March that the SNP started to consistently poll higher than Labour but as has been stated, these are very different times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AberdeenAngus Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Nut. Can't see it. I refuse to believe they are actually as good as being made out. Numbers are eye-watering. Im more concerned about people saying they'll vote SNP but are actually embarrassed to say they're going to vote Labour. I know I know and I work with someone who reckons the SNP won't get anymore than 18 seats as he refuses to believe the polls. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aaid Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Yep. And Labour will narrow this gap. Just like the referendum, expect a panic button to be hit at some point that unleashes merry hell on the SNP. They threw everything at the referendum, what can they do now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Can we just all calm doon. Remember what the polls told us on 17th September last year....? A victory for No. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King Of Paisley Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Ashcroft said that a third of people who have switched from Liebour to the Nats could end up switching back on the back of a vigourous Labour campaign. A vigourous campaign in Liebour's eyes is smears, lies, policy hijacking and more ing lies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrelhumper Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Can we just all calm doon. Remember what the polls told us on 17th September last year....? Aye. It would be a no vote by a few % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Certainly looks promising, but still a long way to go. Why cant this be real. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TartanJon Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Can we just all calm doon. Remember what the polls told us on 17th September last year....? Ashcrofts poll told us 57% - 43% in favour of a No vote if memory serves me correctly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Salmond back on the telly there, discussing the poll on Newsnight... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bristolhibby Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Ashcrofts poll told us 57% - 43% in favour of a No vote if memory serves me correctly Pretty accurate then. J Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Salmond back on the telly there, discussing the poll on Newsnight... Loves the limelight does Salmond... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alibi Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Ahead in Dumfries? Seriously? If we win here, we win big overall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EvilScotsman Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 If there are people who shape their vote as such... They should be murdered. Violently. I'm talking ice Picks! Stalinist Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Stalinist Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stocky Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 (edited) Ashcroft said that a third of people who have switched from Liebour to the Nats could end up switching back on the back of a vigourous Labour campaign. A vigourous campaign in Liebour's eyes is smears, lies, policy hijacking and more ing lies. so 40% switched from Liebour to yes, so 10%-15% of these switch back, it still leaves 30% switching.... this imo is more likely this will change the SNP seats from 40- 50- to 20- 30. I have been reluctant to predict over 20 in the past for the SNP, but I might nudge up to 25 now. Edited March 5, 2015 by stocky Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 so 40% switched from Liebour to yes, What? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stocky Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Keep What? Keep up scunnered, I thought you were some political whizz... 38% of Labour voters voted YES.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 (edited) Keep Keep up scunnered, I thought you were some political whizz... 38% of Labour voters voted YES.. I've never claimed to be squire... It's just not a figure I've ever seen. Edited March 5, 2015 by Scunnered Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maq Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 (edited) Keep Keep up scunnered, I thought you were some political whizz... 38% of Labour voters voted YES.. Doesn't mean they 'switched' from Labour though.Just because they didn't agree with Labours policy of voting no, doesn't mean that they've abandoned Labour. Though I do wonder how anyone who voted for Scotland to be independent, would now choose to vote for a unionist party. Alex Massie wrote a good article on it yesterday, I'll have a look for it edit: here it is- http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2015/03/night-of-the-long-claymores-the-snp-are-poised-for-a-historic-momentous-victory/ Edited March 5, 2015 by Maq Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Doesn't mean they 'switched' from Labour though. Just because they didn't agree with Labours policy of voting no, doesn't mean that they've abandoned Labour. Though I do wonder how anyone who voted for Scotland to be independent, would now choose to vote for a unionist party. Alex Massie wrote a good article on it yesterday, I'll have a look for it edit: here it is-http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2015/03/night-of-the-long-claymores-the-snp-are-poised-for-a-historic-momentous-victory/ I like Alex Massie, always a good read with an afternoon MochaLatte. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maq Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 More of a maltesers hot chocolate moment man masel Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Keep Keep up scunnered, I thought you were some political whizz... 38% of Labour voters voted YES.. I've never claimed to be squire... It's just not a figure I've ever seen. Do you have a source for this? I'd quite like to rub it in a few folks faces... But I can't find it anywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aaid Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Do you have a source for this? I'd quite like to rub it in a few folks faces... But I can't find it anywhere. Ashcroft's post referendum poll http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Lord-Ashcroft-Polls-Referendum-day-poll-summary-1409191.pdf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flora MaDonald Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Ashcroft's post referendum poll http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Lord-Ashcroft-Polls-Referendum-day-poll-summary-1409191.pdf Just shows how much the old codgers shafted us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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