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Is 3Rd Place Realistically Gone?


HampdenRoar

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Our chances of automatic went on Friday more or less, but we still have an outside chance of getting 3rd. Realistically, we will be 4 points behind ROI after tonight, so we need to beat Poland & Gibraltar in our last 2. ROI have Germany at home & Poland away in their last 2, so could easily lose both of them.

Remember, its not down to goal difference, its head to head first and we beat ROI on that as we beat them and drew with them. We only need to take 1 more point from our last 3 games than ROI to get 3rd place. Easier said than done mind you.

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If Ireland win tonight and we lose tonight ( without looking at table ) where does that leave us ?

needing to beat Poland and gib and hope Ireland don't win their final two.
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We've won all of the last four competitive home games which gives me some hope.

Tonight, a point's a bonus but can't see it . My gut feeling for the next round: we'll beat Poland but can see the Irish sneaking a German draw and we'll just miss out.

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If we lose tonight then it's out our hands which is really frustrating as arguably we were in the strongest position in group only a few days ago with two home games and a final game v GIB.

As mentioned earlier tonight is still a free hit so we SHOULD be in a (controlled) attacking mood

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We've won all of the last four competitive home games which gives me some hope.

Tonight, a point's a bonus but can't see it . My gut feeling for the next round: we'll beat Poland but can see the Irish sneaking a German draw and we'll just miss out.

You need to check the group. If that happened we would be through.

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Realistically, we'll need a point tonight to keep ourselves within 3 points (presuming Ireland beat Georgia) going into the last two games then will need to win the last two. Do that and we SHOULD get third but it's going to be bloody difficult (stating the obvious).

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If we lose to Germany and Ireland beat Georgia tonight we will be 4 points behind them with a much poorer goal difference. So we would need 2 win our last 2 home games and hope ireland don't get more than a draw out their last 2.

Goal difference doesnae count. We've beaten Ireland on head to head so only need to finish level with them.

That's why even a point on Friday would've been massive...

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We will win the group.

Any other chat can off.

Exactly. If we win tonight we are favorites to win the group. If you don't win your home games you normally don't qualify. This time it's a wee bit different in that we can afford to lose one of the home games and still qualify.

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