Tartan Tarantula Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Leak was from edinburgh where the police are now investigating. Apparently it had Yes on 58%, but that seems too good to be true. Apparently SKY were reporting it earlier, and one of the tabloids had it on their website for a couple of mins before it was taken off Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tartan Tarantula Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Nobody should know postals. They don't get counted till 10pm. Ignore any rumours. ignore rumours, but the police are investigating a leak in Edinburgh. Was even reported on the BBC yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Just heard a wee whisper that the postal votes are showing a big majority for Yes. Anyone in the know? Heard that as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redstevie007 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Nobody should know postals. They don't get counted till 10pm. Ignore any rumours. I was saying that on another thread yesterday but I think the cat's out of the bag. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rossy Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Nobody should know postals. They don't get counted till 10pm. Ignore any rumours. As was kindly explained to me a couple of days ago, apparently a large number are opened in advance. People are not supposed to know how the votes look, but they do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Armchair Bob Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 (edited) As was kindly explained to me a couple of days ago, apparently a large number are opened in advance. People are not supposed to know how the votes look, but they do. Ah right. I thought that was just a random sample, to confirm that signatures match, with nae peeking at the ballot itself. PS I have also heard (unsubstantiated rumour) that postals are 60:40 for no, so I am just going to ignore any rumours for the good of my health... Edited September 18, 2014 by Armchair Bob Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
washboarder Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 odds for yes vote drifting was 7/2 yesterday now most firms heading 4/1 and 9/2 bookies never give money away Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saintlyscot Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 A rangers man. Staunch no a few weeks ago when I spoke to him at my son's fitba practice. Just spoke to him and he voted YES. The scare stories were the tipping point for him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thplinth Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Relative, big Rangers fan, staunch No. Went to George Sq last night and was affected by it and is now expected to vote Yes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stocky Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 My second surprise today. an English guy at the school gates turned up this afternoon with his 3 lions shirt on sporting a huge YES sticker............ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redstevie007 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Relative, big Rangers fan, staunch No. Went to George Sq last night and was affected by it and is now expected to vote Yes. Was he one of those fuds in that video? Realised he was better than and saw the light? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thplinth Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Was he one of those fuds in that video? Realised he was better than and saw the light? She is a lady. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redstevie007 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 (edited) She is a lady.And a much better one now, too Edited September 18, 2014 by redstevie007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tartanhibee Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 The bookies thing is just confusing me. So I'm going to try and ignore it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mariokempes56 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 The bookies thing is just confusing me. So I'm going to try and ignore it. Me too : just insane when even the (prob wrong) polls had it at 48-52 they are 5-1 on for NO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 I can only assume the bookies are being influenced by some serious bets from down south by people going by the polls? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacWalka Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 So facking excited Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irnbruman Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 (edited) Just been to polling station in kirkintilloch. Yes rep in good spirits. Hes opening the door for everyone arriving. All yessers stopping for a chat and saying thankyou. Miserable no bastards not even saying thanks for him opening the door. Was great so see one woman so enthusiastic..she had never voted before and had been trying to convert all her mates with a reasonable degree of success. Edited September 18, 2014 by irnbruman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave78 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 I can only assume the bookies are being influenced by some serious bets from down south by people going by the polls? Yep, the market is completely distorted. These are bookies who operate across the whole UK. If they only operated in Scotland then Yes would be the odds-on favourite. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hessen Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Yep, the market is completely distorted. These are bookies who operate across the whole UK. If they only operated in Scotland then Yes would be the odds-on favourite. If people are still piling on NO down south, then it's in the bookies interests to keep them doing so, and by having them odds on it gives the impression that it's a forgone conclusion. That is of course if the bookies are getting feedback from Scotland saying it's 50:50 and YES might win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dillinger Posted September 18, 2014 Author Share Posted September 18, 2014 Absolutely buzzing after that today. Sent three undecideds away as yes, two with something to think about and a badge in their pocket just in case, and helped two guys who werent voting find out details of their polling station. Amazing feeling. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbductedbyAliens Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Some english guy has 900k on No. Seems to be a flood of people changing their mind from no to yes today. Wondering if its happening the other way around as well, and there just too embaressed to say? Feckin hope not! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Auld_Reekie Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 As ever, the bookies are in the busy of making money. Their odds reflect their books. If money is pilling on No, they will continue to shorten the odds which in turn encourages more bets as people see it as a sure fire winner. All that money goes toward balancing their loses if it's a Yes vote. The clue is where these bets are placed. Vast majority of bets in Scotland are for Yes, while vast majority for No in rUK. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave78 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 If people are still piling on NO down south, then it's in the bookies interests to keep them doing so, and by having them odds on it gives the impression that it's a forgone conclusion. That is of course if the bookies are getting feedback from Scotland saying it's 50:50 and YES might win. I think they're just balancing their books? The best info the bookies have is that the vote could go either way, yet the no side are huge favourites. That has to be because the vast majority of the money has been placed on No.... no? Yesterday the best you could get was Evens on the vote being over 48%, yet 4-1 on an actual Yes result. That 2% difference in the vote doesn't justify such a big swing in the odds surely? The only explanation i can come up with is that the relative difference of the bookie's exposure forces them to have such long odds on a Yes vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave78 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 As ever, the bookies are in the busy of making money. Their odds reflect their books. If money is pilling on No, they will continue to shorten the odds which in turn encourages more bets as people see it as a sure fire winner. All that money goes toward balancing their loses if it's a Yes vote. The clue is where these bets are placed. Vast majority of bets in Scotland are for Yes, while vast majority for No in rUK. What he said Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.