Orraloon Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 4000 Green votes in Edinburgh Central splits the Indy vote and lets in Ruth Davidson. This will probably be replicated on the regional vote. No chance of an overall majority. Tactical voting by the unionists seems to be working. Not for Labour though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 The share of the vote in the constituencies is almost identical to 2011 for SNP and Lib Dem but a huge swing from Labour to Ruth Davidson. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 Tories have sealed 2nd place, quite unbelievable. Ruth Davidson has somehow played a blinder. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
exile Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 (edited) 46 minutes ago, kumnio said: Winners interviewed by BBC, LD's 4/4 Tories 3/5 Lab 1/1 SNP 1/43 I think it's maybe 3/3 Labour now, SNP up to 2/55 We've also had 4 Liberal Lords on the panel and a Tory 'Lord' too Clearly it's been a fantastic night for the Tories and Lib Dems according to the BBC, and we now look forward to the Labour 'fightback' on the list... Edited May 6, 2016 by exile Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 (edited) I don't understand why BBC are saying 55 so far to SNP but STV only have them on 53? But either way SNP are going to get more constituencies than last time. Down to the list now. They are probably going to need 5 to 10 seats from the list. I don't think they will get enough. Depends on how many gave their 2nd vote to somebody else. Not looking good for a majority. The "Both votes SNP" doesn't seem to have persuaded enough people? Time will tell. That Aberdeen Tory seat might just give SNP 2 list seat in North East Scotland. Edited May 6, 2016 by Orraloon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 PARTY SEATS NET CHANGE IN SEATS+/- VOTES VOTE SHARE NET PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN SEATS+/- % Party Scottish National Party Seats Net change in seats- Votes272,702 Vote Share43.5% Net percentage change in seats−1.9 Party Scottish Conservatives Seats Net change in seats- Votes136,555 Vote Share21.8% Net percentage change in seats+10.1 Party Scottish Labour Seats Net change in seats- Votes127,890 Vote Share20.4% Net percentage change in seats−7.7 Party Scottish Green Party Seats Net change in seats- Votes35,885 Vote Share5.7% Net percentage change in seats+2.3 Party Scottish Lib Dems Seats Net change in seats- Votes30,794 Vote Share4.9% Net percentage change in seats+0.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 34 minutes ago, kumnio said: Tories have sealed 2nd place, quite unbelievable. Ruth Davidson has somehow played a blinder. I didn't think they would do this well. I can't believe how badly Labour have collapsed. I didn't think it was possible for them to get any lower. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 4 minutes ago, kumnio said: PARTY SEATS NET CHANGE IN SEATS+/- VOTES VOTE SHARE NET PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN SEATS+/- % Party Scottish National Party Seats Net change in seats- Votes272,702 Vote Share43.5% Net percentage change in seats−1.9 Party Scottish Conservatives Seats Net change in seats- Votes136,555 Vote Share21.8% Net percentage change in seats+10.1 Party Scottish Labour Seats Net change in seats- Votes127,890 Vote Share20.4% Net percentage change in seats−7.7 Party Scottish Green Party Seats Net change in seats- Votes35,885 Vote Share5.7% Net percentage change in seats+2.3 Party Scottish Lib Dems Seats Net change in seats- Votes30,794 Vote Share4.9% Net percentage change in seats+0.5 Canne agrue with that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 (edited) 57 so far, should win Argyll & Bute, Midlothian South is dodgy, and Ettrick is a lost cause. Thats 58, only need 7 on the Regional List, I think thats dooable, should get 3 or 4 on South Scotland list alone. Edited May 6, 2016 by kumnio Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErsatzThistle Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 (edited) 1 hour ago, Orraloon said: SNP hold Cunninghame North. He's a top man is Kenny Gibson. A bloody fantastic result for Plaid Cymru and Leanne Wood in Rhondda too. Has that sectarian feckwit Michael McMahon been booted out to spend more time down at the chip shop ? Edited May 6, 2016 by ErsatzThistle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 (edited) 8 minutes ago, kumnio said: 57 so far, should Argyll & Bute, Midlothian South is dodgy, and Ettrick is a lost cause. Thats 58, only need 7 on the Regional List, I think thats dooable. 2 more constituencies to declare I think? Probably 59 total. Need 6 list seats. I am starting to believe again. They are going to need over 40% in the regional list. Lets see how many defected to greens. Edited May 6, 2016 by Orraloon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 Glasgow Regional, 4 Labour, 2 Tory, 1 Green Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, Orraloon said: 2 more constituencies to declare I think? Probably 59 total. Need 6 list seats. I am starting to believe again. They are going to need over 40% in the regional list. Lets see how many defected to greens. Three to declare, one will be SNP, one Tory, and one close call. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 FFS just when it starts to get interesting STV fuk off tae their beds. WTF? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 This is where giving green the 2nd vote would have made a difference in Glasgow. They could have taken 3-4 seats with the SNP vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OLAS Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 Thought the Scottish Sun was supporting the SNP? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 3 minutes ago, iainmac1 said: This is where giving green the 2nd vote would have made a difference in Glasgow. They could have taken 3-4 seats with the SNP vote. That assumes that you knew in advance that SNP would win all the constituencies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 (edited) Lothians Regional, 3 Tories, 2 Labour, 2 Greens Fife Regional, 4 Tories, 2 Labour, 1 Green Edited May 6, 2016 by kumnio Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 SNP Majority looking doubtful now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 Not looking good. Unionists are better at tactical voting than Indepenenistas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 5 minutes ago, Orraloon said: That assumes that you knew in advance that SNP would win all the constituencies. Even if the snp had lost 1 or 2 seats they might have ended up with nothing on list. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErsatzThistle Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 I see that the furious FAC campaign to drive the SNP out of Glasgow East and North Lanarkshire went well then Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 (edited) Looking like a Unionist majority. Could be a Tory led coalition? Edited May 6, 2016 by Orraloon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 Can't see where the snp will get the seats needed from to get a majority. Looking like a minority but a majority with the Greens so perhaps a coalition. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, Orraloon said: Looking like a Unionist majority. There will be an independence majority defienetly. Only 3 seats needed and snp will get some in south region and green will pick up one in highland probably Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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