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Scottish Seats - Prediction Time


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Tom Harris is my mp. Be extremely happy to see him lose his seat.

Story about him and his entourage going roon a scheme. Old boy says who's the elderly guy with the rosette on? That's Tom Clarke says a Labour staffer. Christ says the old boy I've no seen him in this street for over 20 years!! And that's Scottish Labour in a nutshell.

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Same here. Another two votes for Stewart McD just cast.

No activists from any party at the polling station.

Another 2 votes here!

Nobody there when we went at 8.30.

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No on there when I voted, however Labour did have the wrong placard on display. Im in Dundee West, but they had the Dundee Easts candidates placard. Useless fckers.

:lol::lol: That actually disnae surprise me :lol:

Are you sure you went to the right polling station? :lol:

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Only an SNP when I went to Battlefield primary earlier

At Ratho we had a SNP member on site all day, we saw no other member of any other party at the polling station all day. Tories didnt even put out an A Frame. This is in Edinburgh FFS, almost like they wanted Crockhart from Libdems to win.

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I did a national prediction in March... (on another forum) - actual results in bold.

Quote from: Clyde1998 on March 08, 2015, 11:04:45 pm
Vote Shares (GB only)

Conservatives - 35% 37%
Labour - 33% 30%
Liberal Democrats - 10% 8%
UKIP - 10% 13%
Greens - 5% 4%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist - 4% 6%

Seats

Conservatives - 291 331
Labour - 255 232
Liberal Democrats - 24 8
UKIP - 2 1
Greens - 1
SNP- 55 56
Plaid- 3
Galloway- 1 0
Other- 18 (Northern Ireland)

Likely Government - Hung Parliament; Conservative minority

Scotland - Vote share and seats

Labour - 23% (2 seats) 24% (1)
SNP - 48% (55 seats) 50% (56)
Liberal Democrats - 8% (1 seat)
Conservative - 14% (1 seat) 15% (1)
Greens - 4% (0 seats) 1%
UKIP - 2% (0 seats)
Others - 1% (0 seats) <0.5%

Constituency winner (3 interesting seats per region and Nick Clegg's seat)

Gordon- SNP
Glasgow North- Labour SNP
Stirling- SNP

Berwick Upon Tweed- Conservative
Stockton South - Conservative
Redcar- Labour

Bury North- Labour Con
Southport- Lib Dem
Heywood and Middleton- Labour

Rotherham- Labour
Colne Valley- Conservative
Bradford West- Respect Lab
Sheffield Hallam- Labour Lib

Boston and Skegness- Conservative
Broxtowe- Labour Con
Loughborough- Conservative

Worcester- Conservative
Dudley South- Conservative
Warwickshire North- Labour Con

Ynys Mon- Labour
Ceredigion- Lib Dem
Vale of Glamorgan- Conservative

Camborne and Redruth- Conservative
Bristol West- Labour
Wells- Conservative

Brighton Pavillion- Green
Thanet South- Conservative
Rochester and Strood- Conservative

Kingston and Surbiton- Lib Dem Con
Battersea- Conservative
Enfield North- Labour

Norwich South- Labour
Clacton- UKIP
Thurrock- UKIP Con


All my vote shares were correct within 3%, most of my seat predictions were correct and my Scotland prediction was one seat out...

I didn't predict how badly the Lib Dems would do. Labour didn't do as well as I expected and the Tories benefited from my miscalculations...

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That should tell you something (maybe)

Bookies are no daft

If they thought the SNP would get under 50 it would be well odds on

8/11 for 51 and over

Shocked at that masel - the bookies think they will get over 50

Yep

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