stocky Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 There are 73 constituancies in the Scottish Parliament so the SNP will have way more than 55. The second vote Green could make a major difference though. Based on poll predictions the SNP will take most of their share through the constituency vote, winning 70 of 73 seats which is an outright majority already. Voting SNP in 2nd vote would only increase the SNP seats 2 to a total of 72. This would see Labour in 2nd place on 28 seats with the Greens on 10. The big difference is if you get about 25% of SNP voters giving thier 2nd vote to the Greens increasing their vote by 14%. This sees the SNP drop a meesly 2 seats, retaining a majority but would see Labour drop to 21 seats and the Greens rising to 26 becoming the 2nd largest party! thats the message we need to get across.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest flumax Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 There are 73 constituancies in the Scottish Parliament so the SNP will have way more than 55. The second vote Green could make a major difference though. Based on poll predictions the SNP will take most of their share through the constituency vote, winning 70 of 73 seats which is an outright majority already. Voting SNP in 2nd vote would only increase the SNP seats 2 to a total of 72. This would see Labour in 2nd place on 28 seats with the Greens on 10. The big difference is if you get about 25% of SNP voters giving thier 2nd vote to the Greens increasing their vote by 14%. This sees the SNP drop a meesly 2 seats, retaining a majority but would see Labour drop to 21 seats and the Greens rising to 26 becoming the 2nd largest party! Where are these figures from? Would love to see snp, green 1 & 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tartandon Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Where are these figures from? Would love to see snp, green 1 & 2 I would hope that a lot of people were impressed by Patrick Harvie in the tv debates, both at the referendum and at the UK This should hopefully see people lend their 2nd vote to the Greens Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest flumax Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 I see from zooming in this is from some prediction site, where is it? I would like to see what difference 0% regional snp vote would have with green getting all the SNP vote. If it means 2 dropped for 30 green, surely that should be the campaign. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 What would happen if say 50% of SNP voters gave their 2nd vote to Greens? Would that get even more greens in or is there a limit to how effective it would be? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 I see from zooming in this is from some prediction site, where is it? I would like to see what difference 0% regional snp vote would have with green getting all the SNP vote. If it means 2 dropped for 30 green, surely that should be the campaign. Aye, that's the sort of lines I was thinking about. If we were sure of the numbers it would be good to get a simple clear message out there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scotlad Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 A Green opposition - that would be fantastic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 http://www.scotlandvotes.com/holyrood I just put in the most recent polling from this month and it would see: SNP 73 Labour 28 Tories 16 Lib Dem 5 Green 10 The SNP are polling 44% in the 2nd Vote and the Greens 10%. If we could get about a third of SNP voters to give their 2nd vote Green and leave us with SNP 29% and Green 25% we would see: SNP 70 Green 25 Labour 17 Tories 14 Lib Dem 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 I see from zooming in this is from some prediction site, where is it? I would like to see what difference 0% regional snp vote would have with green getting all the SNP vote. If it means 2 dropped for 30 green, surely that should be the campaign. That would see SNP going from 73 to 70, still a majority and more seats than they have now. But the difference it would make to the rest of the vote is stagering! SNP 70 Green 40 Labour 11 Tory 7 Lib Dem 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 What would happen if say 50% of SNP voters gave their 2nd vote to Greens? Would that get even more greens in or is there a limit to how effective it would be? That would have just as great an impact: SNP 70 Green 31 Labour 17 Tory 10 Lib Dem 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kumnio Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 That would see SNP going from 73 to 70, still a majority and more seats than they have now. But the difference it would make to the rest of the vote is stagering! SNP 70 Green 40 Labour 11 Tory 7 Lib Dem 1 That would be outstanding. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orraloon Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 That would see SNP going from 73 to 70, still a majority and more seats than they have now. But the difference it would make to the rest of the vote is stagering! SNP 70 Green 40 Labour 11 Tory 7 Lib Dem 1 You need to try harder. How do we get the Lib Dems down to zero? Although it would be good to see Wullie Rennie left all on his lonesome. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iainmac1 Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 If the SNP are on course to win a majority through the constituancies, which at the moment it would do then 2nd vote Green is a must. All depends if they can keep their polling high. Worst case is they under perform in the constituancies (Unlikely at the moment) but it would still result in Greens 2nd and a massive pro independence majority. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scotlad Posted May 13, 2015 Share Posted May 13, 2015 Probably just a reaction to a Tory government. I would expect that to calm down slightly. Good review of where we stand now by Brian Taylor: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-32688009 After the referendum I said that sooner or later we'd live to regret our decision. Looking at some of the things the Tories have in the pipeline I reckon quite a lot of folk are in for a shock: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32683869 And to think, if 200k or so votes had gone the other way we would most probably have avoided it all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlie Endell Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 40 Green loonies at Holyrood - the stuff of nightmares. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest flumax Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 40 Green loonies at Holyrood - the stuff of nightmares. Don't worry there would be some quines as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest flumax Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 So Iain, what it seems. If everyone who voted snp for wm, voted snp constituency and as many as those who wish vote green, we could be looking at near unionist wipe out? Can't see snp backing sick a campaign, but this is where the yes campaign can step up. Got a year to double check these numbers and get the message out... Could be immense if correct Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlie Endell Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 Don't worry there would be some quines as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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