littleboyblue's Content - Page 6 - Tartan Army Message Board Jump to content

littleboyblue

Member
  • Posts

    153
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by littleboyblue

  1. Another option might be to get the train from Glasgow Central to Edinburgh that goes through Uddingston, Bellshill etc and in via Wester Hails, Slateford etc. Rutherglen would be the best bet for getting on at. Not the quickest train but avoids going back in to Glasgow.
  2. I can't remember either but I guess it was Nicola Sturgeon as she was described as leader in the Scottish Parliament from 2004 to 2007 i.e. during the period from Swinney stepping down to Salmond becoming FM. Edit - quote didn't work, Toepoke.
  3. Was it Curran who stood against john mason when he won the by-election in glasgow east? Ok, so he lost it again come the general election in 2010, but it shows it could be done.
  4. Ohhhhhhhhh, we're half way there, ohhhhhoh livin in the sqerrrr! That was the classic lyric to bon jovi's living on a prayer in 1980's campbeltown as a reference to the town's Park Square.
  5. I don't know to what extent the LD will collapse but with a majority of around 4,000 I would stick with them for the fiver.
  6. Argyll & Bute could be a genuine four horse race. It's been LD since 1987 but that must be under threat in May. Tories were second in 2010 and will fancy this I reckon. Labour were third last time and have a good candidate. I also think the percentage of labour 'yes' vote will have been lower than in the labour heartlands so they might not be hurt as much as they hopefully will be in Glasgow, North Lanarkshire and West Dunbartonshire. SNP were fourth on 18% last time and will hope to pick up the Yes effect. Mike Russell is the MSP. Could be close.
  7. Ah, mis-read it earlier. Chance should be six times better than with six selections since there are 20 trebles in six selections but 120 trebles in 10 selections. So, about 9.45/1 ?
  8. You mean where the entire set of numbers is 1 to 10 or are you still talking about the lottery i.e. 1 to 49?
  9. I've not indulged in any of this vote rigging chat to date. I agree the videos going about are pretty meaningless but what about this issue about missing barcodes and serial numbers from ballot papers? Is is right they should have had these details on the back?
  10. That's it, vote cast. Not sure i savoured it the way i intended to. I started getting very twitchy driving the last few yards to the polling station. Been emotional all day reading other people's accounts but i turned in to mr stern and got the job done. Probably looked like a No!!
  11. Not sure how reliable the list of timings that's floating about is but I was thinking South Lanarkshire coming in will give a good idea of how its gone. Although it stretches down to the borders its heavily populated nearer glasgow and will be a decent indicator for glasgow city itself.
  12. AR - more accurately, its from here: http://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/news/latest/new-ifg-analysis-what-are-scenarios-governing-after-referendum
  13. Assuming turnout was the same under and over age 65, it would need to be about 55% Yes for the 'unders' to mitigate the effect of a 2:1 split for the 'overs'. (55% x 78%) + (33% x 22%) = 50.16% Its only one strand of the overall picture, though.
  14. AR - George Eaton, New Statesman tweeted it. He cited Alex Ingram (@nuttyxander), a Yes guy to be fair.
  15. Cheers fadiator, it was a related question, not specifically on the back of the Facebook numbers. I was trying to establish in my mind if its really that much of a problem that we seem to be behind with age 65+ if they only represent 22% of the electorate. I get that they maybe have a higher propensity to vote in regular elections but feel that may be negated a bit in the referendum as overall turnout is likely to be much higher anyway.
  16. People 65+ represent just 22% of the electorate. I noticed in one recent poll Yes was ahead in every age group except 65+. I guess pollsters weight the results to take account of this the same as they do with previous voting patterns?
  17. I reckon there will be more than 3million votes, which is about 70% turnout.
  18. Neilly, so you must be out with Yes Rutherglen? I've been out the last few weeks on a thu & fri. Will be out tomorrow in Halfway.
  19. Do all postal votes go to the same location or will the postal votes for each local authority be included in the result for the local authority from which they originate?
×
×
  • Create New...