Clyde1998

I've put a blog post up about the spending figures during the campaign: http://scottishpolling.blogspot.co.uk/2015/05/indyref-spending.html It seems spending wasn't so even after all...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b05t1wnj

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-32735695 The two official campaigns, Better Together and Yes Scotland, spent a total of £1,422,602 and £1,420,800 respectively. However, it revealed that information was missing from Better Together's returns and that it was consulting with both the Crown Office and procurator fiscal office as to whether a legal investigation needed to be held. The SNP had a limit of £1,344,000 and spent £1,298,567; the Labour Party had a limit of £831,000 and spent £732,482 and the Conservative Party had a limit of £399,000 and spent £356,191.

Done

It has to be 2021, as it can't clash with UK (obviously), local council or European elections. Election Timetable: 2015 - UK Election 2016 - Scottish Election 2017 - Local Council Election 2019 - European Election 2020 - UK Election 2021 - Scottish Election*

Is this a material change that could cause another referendum? Leaving the ECHR would breach the Good Friday Agreement as well... http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2015/may/12/scrapping-human-rights-act-would-breach-good-friday-agreement The UK can't pull out of the ECHR and still be a member of the EU. The EU’s Charter of Fundamental Rights is the same thing as the ECHR.

A see-saw has more seats than Scottish Labour...

Bye Bye Standard Life.

Survation Sub-Sample (8-9 May): Yes - 52.6% No - 47.4% YouGov Sub-Sample (8-9 May): Yes - 54.7% No - 45.3% We'll need to see a full-scale Scotland poll to confirm this, but could this be the start of the shift towards clear support for independence?

It should only be a conditional pledge - for example if we're dragged out the EU against our will.

I've found their website. They said that because they couldn't photograph ballot papers - the referendum wasn't transparent...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32696505 Hmm...

http://news.sky.com/story/1481024/police-probes-after-battle-for-bradford-west "Alleged smearing, online trolling, assault and a possible infringement of election law are all being investigated by police after the bitter election battle between Respect's George Galloway and Labour's Naz Shah."

I did a national prediction in March... (on another forum) - actual results in bold. Quote from: Clyde1998 on March 08, 2015, 11:04:45 pm Vote Shares (GB only) Conservatives - 35% 37% Labour - 33% 30% Liberal Democrats - 10% 8% UKIP - 10% 13% Greens - 5% 4% Scottish/Welsh Nationalist - 4% 6% Seats Conservatives - 291 331 Labour - 255 232 Liberal Democrats - 24 8 UKIP - 2 1 Greens - 1 SNP- 55 56 Plaid- 3 Galloway- 1 0 Other- 18 (Northern Ireland) Likely Government - Hung Parliament; Conservative minority Scotland - Vote share and seats Labour - 23% (2 seats) 24% (1) SNP - 48% (55 seats) 50% (56) Liberal Democrats - 8% (1 seat) Conservative - 14% (1 seat) 15% (1) Greens - 4% (0 seats) 1% UKIP - 2% (0 seats) Others - 1% (0 seats) <0.5% Constituency winner (3 interesting seats per region and Nick Clegg's seat) Gordon- SNP Glasgow North- Labour SNP Stirling- SNP Berwick Upon Tweed- Conservative Stockton South - Conservative Redcar- Labour Bury North- Labour Con Southport- Lib Dem Heywood and Middleton- Labour Rotherham- Labour Colne Valley- Conservative Bradford West- Respect Lab Sheffield Hallam- Labour Lib Boston and Skegness- Conservative Broxtowe- Labour Con Loughborough- Conservative Worcester- Conservative Dudley South- Conservative Warwickshire North- Labour Con Ynys Mon- Labour Ceredigion- Lib Dem Vale of Glamorgan- Conservative Camborne and Redruth- Conservative Bristol West- Labour Wells- Conservative Brighton Pavillion- Green Thanet South- Conservative Rochester and Strood- Conservative Kingston and Surbiton- Lib Dem Con Battersea- Conservative Enfield North- Labour Norwich South- Labour Clacton- UKIP Thurrock- UKIP Con All my vote shares were correct within 3%, most of my seat predictions were correct and my Scotland prediction was one seat out... I didn't predict how badly the Lib Dems would do. Labour didn't do as well as I expected and the Tories benefited from my miscalculations...

Conservatives: North East England - 3/29 - 10% (+1 seat) North West England - 22/75 - 29% (N/C) Yorkshire - 19/54 - 35% (N/C) West Midlands - 34/59 - 58% (+1 seat) East Midlands - 32/46 - 70% (+1 seat) East of England - 52/58 - 90% (+1 seat) South East England - 78/84 - 93% (+3 seats) South West England - 51/55 - 93% (+15 seats) London - 27/73 - 37% (-1 seat) England - 318/533 - 60% (+21 seats) Northern Ireland - 0/18 - 0% (N/C) Scotland - 1/59 - 2% (N/C) Wales - 11/40 - 28% (+3 seats) United Kingdom - 330/650 (+24 seats) Labour: North East England - 26/29 - 90% (+1 seat) North West England - 51/75 - 68% (+4 seats) Yorkshire - 33/54 - 61% (+1 seat) West Midlands - 25/59 - 42% (+1 seat) East Midlands - 14/46 - 30% (-1 seat) East of England - 4/58 - 7% (+2 seats) South East England - 4/84 - 5% (N/C) South West England - 4/55 - 7% (N/C) London - 45/73 - 62% (+7 seats) England - 206/533 - 39% (+15 seats) Scotland - 1/59 - 2% (-40 seats) Wales - 25/40 - 63% (-1 seat) United Kingdom - 232/650 (-26 seats) The massive Conservative gains from Lib Dems in the South of England won them the election - those 18 gains for Lib moved the Tories to 325 seats (without any other gains). Labour's failure to win Conservative seats in the North and Midlands cost them any chance of preventing a Conservative majority.

Findlay should've become SLAB leader in December - with him resigning it seems unlikely he'll go for the top job, if Murphy is forced out.

I was hoping the Exit Poll would come true - would've been more Pandas than Unionist MPs.

http://www.buzzfeed.com/jamieross/its-been-easy-its-been-to-outdo-the-snp

To win 50% of the vote, the SNP need 19,500 (35%) in Berwickshire.

Berwickshire has SNP 300 ahead apparently.

Mundell holds on... just...

It was lunchtime in 2010

I meant to write 500, which was based on a rough calculation.

We lost Orkney & Shetland by 50 votes.