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bdgsct

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Everything posted by bdgsct

  1. Agree with Barnes and Doak. Of last night's squad, i think Shankland, Brown, Taylor, Ralston, Doig and McLean will miss out. I think Clarke had probably made his mind up on some of these and wanted to at least give them a chance to prove him wrong. Perhaps explains why Shankland didn't get many minutes - he would have given himself a headache had he scored.
  2. Likely pots after last night's results. Still plenty permutation but based on bookies odds these are most likely. Some of the more uncertain scenarios in brackets. I'd sooner see us in pot 3. Pot1 France England Spain Germany Portugal Belgium Pot 2 Romania (will swap with Swiss in pot 4 if they lose final game at home to swiss) Albania Hungary Denmark Austria (swap with us if we win by 2 or 4-3) Turkey Pot3 Scotland Netherlands Croatia Serbia Italy (Ukraine if they beat Italy) Slovakia Pot 4 Switzerland Czech Republic Slovenia (or Kazahkstan if they beat them in final game) Playoff winnersx3
  3. Worth a start up top. Scoring at a higher level than any of our other forwards and with fewer chances.
  4. Unlikely to matter as Estonia, Norway, Italy/Ukraine, Wales/Croatia and Poland are ahead of them in the queue if ive understood it correctly. If Greece had beaten Holland it would might have been an issue. Quite an oversight.
  5. He won't have any role at international level as he is simply not a player. Plenty strength and speed but you need more than that these days. Described as uncoachable during his time in Germany and never been a regular at any of his many clubs. Signed some cracking contracts so good luck to him.
  6. I'll predict Armstrong instead of Stewart and Jack instead of Taylor given the flexibility with Tierney and Hickey. I think Jack has run his race but if playing 2 defensive midfielders we'd need some cover and Clarke seems to like him. If Christie and Doak in, I don't think we need a third out and out striker. Sadly I think injuries are bound to remove some of these decisions.
  7. A point v Denmark will do us if at least 3 of the following happen, Finland to fail to beat France by 3 or more. Turkey to fail to beat Montenegro (away) by 4 or more. Spain to beat Sweden by 3 or more. Or by 2 if we score more than Sweden. Poland to lose to Hungary at home. Croatia lose to Russia at home. Belgium to beat Wales. Or draw if they score 2 less than us.
  8. Please ignore, looks like return leg cancelled so should get a refund.
  9. Train times as below, leaves Thursday tea time. Return is Sunday lunchtime. Collect in Edinburgh City Centre.
  10. I've got two return tickets Edinburgh to London, 17th-20th. £153 for the two tickets face value. Collect in Edinburgh.
  11. Correct the bottom teams don't count, I'd left that off to avoid complicating an already confusing picture. Montenegro would need 5 points from there 3 remaining 'live' games to leave Scotland's ar$e out the window. Home to Romania where they would be favourites Home to Denmark where they would be favourites against a team which will probably be out of the equation by then Then a tricky away game against a Poland team with nothing to play for as they will be through by then. 5 points not too difficult to foresee. Don't forget Scotland would need a draw between Slovakia and Slovenia tonight and wins for England against both even to have a chance of finishing second if they draw tonight..........MUST WIN!
  12. “You don’t just have to win the game,” he said. “If you get a point and you win the next three games then that is 10 points. “You couldn’t tell me 10 [more] points couldn’t do it,” he added. “That is why it isn’t a must-win. We are going to try and play like it is a must-win, but play it in a way where we don’t try and win it by being silly and you lose it. Read more at: http://www.scotsman.com/sport/football/teams/scotland/lithuania-game-is-not-must-win-claims-gordon-strahcan-1-4548105 Technically Strachan is correct 10 points may be enough - however if he understood the combination of other results required then he would not suggest this.
  13. If Strachan privately tells his players it is must-win fair enough, but what is the point in telling the fans/media anything different? If Strachan is taken at his word and genuinely believes 10 points may be enough and doesn't go for broke if drawing late in the game because he misunderstands the likelihood of progression then this is negligent.
  14. I understand Strachan is attempting to take pressure off players but if he believes 10 points may be enough then he and his staff have completely failed to grasp the qualification format. I was looking at this from a betting angle. If you think Scotland will qualify you are better to back them to win all games individually and then win the play-off. they are best price 33-1 to qualify. Scotland currently have less points than any other runner-up and have the worst goal difference, if it stays that way, they wouldn't get a play-off spot. Even if Scotland take 12 points from the last four games, they will still require results to go their way elsewhere , detailed below To even finish runner-up in their own group they require Slovakia and Slovenia to drop points before the end of the campaign. This is pretty likely as they play each other and both play England away. Realistically, to avoid being the worst placed runner-up, along with gaining 12 points from the last four games, they will also require ONE of the following, Sweden to take 6 points or less from their final 3 games Montenegro to take 9 points or less from their last 4 games Northern Ireland to take 6 points or less from their final 4 games Serbia to lose to Ireland and fail to beat Austria, combined with Wales not achieving 12 points from their final 4 games. Bosnia to take 7 points or less from their last three games combined with Greece to take 6 points or less from their last 3 games. I accept there is a very good chance that Slovakia/Slovenia will drop points and that at least one of the events above will occur but it is not guaranteed. The true odds on Scotland to get to the play-off should be about 20-1. If Scotland were to draw tonight and win the remaining three games then they could finish runners-up if Slovakia and Slovenia draw (or Slovenia win) and then both get beat by England. This is probably a 50/1 shot. However even then it is highly unlikely that Scotland would avoid the worst placed runner-up as they would require another runner-up to finish with less than 18 points, realistically they would require one of the following, Montenegro to take 7 points or less from their last 4 games (Kazakstan (A), Romania (H), Denmark (H), Poland (A) Northern Ireland to take 4 points or less from their final 4 games (San Marino (A), Czech Rep (H), Germany (A), Norway (A) If Scotland draw tonight and end up in this scenario, the odds to reach a play-off would drift to about 200-1. Must win?
  15. Name Change Fee is £95. Plus any change in ticket price. I don't know what this is as the flight looks to be full.
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