I don't see the competition any different to last campaign, albeit 2nd place this time would only get a play off.
We're certainly capable of bettering them all, England aside. Consistency will be the key, not blowing it in games v Lithuania/Malta as well as obviously winning home games v Slovakia/Slovenia.
Of note we start with Malta (a) and Lithuania (h). Slovakia (who I'd say are our biggest challenge for 2nd) start England (h) Slovenia (a). If they came out of those game with less than 3 points, anything for us in Slovakia would have them in a tough position right from the start.