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Clyde1998

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Everything posted by Clyde1998

  1. I got (in Scotland): Greens - 88% SNP - 82% Lib Dem - 66% Labour - 66% Conservative - 31% UKIP - 26% I did the thing again for my actual constituency in England (which has some different questions): Green - 90% Labour - 71% Lib Dem - 59% Conservatives - 28% UKIP - 28%
  2. Also, based on the differences in pollsters so far I'd expect the SNP to be around: 45% with Panelbase (as the poll showed) 49% with Survation 53% with Ipsos Mori 48% with YouGov 46% with ICM with each pollster.
  3. This is the second largest SNP lead over Labour in Panelbase polls ever (for Westminster). The debates would've helped. Hopefully Sturgeon can win both Scottish debates next week...
  4. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/SNP/11514933/Nicola-Sturgeon-secretly-backs-David-Cameron.html In the Torygraph, so it's probably fake, but suggests the Sturgeon thinks Cameron would be a better PM than Miliband. The newspaper seem scared that the SNP are going to do well.
  5. Survation Scotland sub-samples: Performed best: Sturgeon - 49.4% Miliband - 20.2% Clegg - 10.4% Farage - 10.3% Cameron - 7.6% Bennett - 2.1% Wood - 0.0% Performed worst: Farage - 23.3% Wood - 20.5% Cameron - 16.3%Bennett - 14.3% Miliband - 11.8%Clegg - 11.4% Sturgeon - 2.5% Net: Sturgeon +46.9% Miliband +8.4 Clegg -1.0% Cameron -8.7% Bennett -12.2% Farage -13.0% Wood -20.5%
  6. ComRes Scotland sub-sample: More likely to vote for party following debates: SNP - 54% Lab - 17 Con - 17% Grn - 10% UKIP - 8% Lib - 6%
  7. ComRes Scotland sub-sample: Performed Best: Sturgeon - 53% Farage - 13% Cameron - 12% Miliband - 11% Clegg - 6% Bennett - 4% Wood - 2% Performed Worst: Farage - 28% Wood - 19% Bennett - 18% Miliband - 12% Cameron - 12% Clegg - 5% Sturgeon - 5% Net: Sturgeon +48% Clegg +1% Cameron +0% Miliband -1% Bennett -12% Farage -15% Wood -17%
  8. ComRes: Net ratings: Sturgeon +16% Miliband +7% Cameron +6% Clegg +3% Farage +1% Wood -14% Bennett -25%
  9. YouGov - Who won: Sturgeon - 28% Farage - 20% Cameron - 18% Miliband - 15% Clegg - 10% Bennett - 5% Wood - 4%
  10. Maybe ITV were using the unrounded numbers and STV were using the rounded numbers?
  11. ComRes poll of the 40 Labour held seats in Scotland - Labour would be left with 12 MPs in Scotland. Overall Results: SNP - 43% Labour - 37% Conservatives - 13% Greens - 2% UKIP - 2% Lib Dems - 2%
  12. 19% swing to the SNP overall apparently - on Uniform Swing, Labour would be left with all but ten seats.
  13. Their local branches must've not chosen the candidates in those place yet then. Thank you
  14. I'd be surprised too - I can't find an official list for them though. If they don't stand - then it'll be an SNP shoe-in against the Tories, Lib Dems and UKIP.
  15. I've just checked who has candidates where this year - and noticed a few odd things. (Hopefully these are errors that someone can correct) Conservatives not standing in 4 seats: Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East Kilmarnock & Loudoun Linlithgow & East Falkirk Motherwell & Wishaw Labour not standing in 2 seats: Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill (Labour held) Perth & North Perthshire Lib Dems not standing in 6 seats: Edinburgh East Inverclyde Lanark & Hamilton East Midlothian Moray Paisley & Renfrewshire North Greens not standing in 28 seats - I've heard this should be 27 (ie standing in 32 seats): http://www.scottishgreens.org.uk/westminster2015-2/ I've linked their website for candidates rather than list them all. Anyone know if these are errors in my list or not?
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