Clyde1998

I said on Twitter that I would only judge polls based on the wording of the questions and the weighting. I'll wait for the data tables before making my final judgement.

Err... That Panelbase poll hasn't been revealed by Panelbase or YesScotland...

Panelbase conducted 2-4 Sep, YouGov 2-6 Sep.

Do you reckon that the Panelbase poll was deliberately conservative in its results? Eitherway, we haven't won this until we've won this.

Panelbase/YesScotland: Yes 48% (+1%); No 52% (-1%)

I've just seen the poll. Feck me, YouGov showing a yes lead. We haven't done it yet though...

It's a thing to get no voters not to turn out. It's not true however

@skymarkwhite: Is Scotland about to vote Yes? Expecting word on a Sunday Times poll later tonight which am told will make Unionists very nervous #indyref

Friday morning. Each council area will declare individually, with counting taking place at several places within a council area (I believe).

From Canadians: "Incredibly bad optics. Remember when Charles DeGaulle stuck his nose into Canadian politics and declared "Vive le Quebec libre"? Canadians, rightly, were outraged that a leader of a foreign nation would meddle in internal politics to that degree. Harper has just made the same faux pas. Team Stupid." "Harper, do Canadians all a favour. Keep your nose out of other countries issues. You have done enough damage already with your voicing of your uninformed opinions." "The last time someone interfered in our politics, Charles DeGaulle, Lester Pearson sent him home packing three days early. How embarrassing. Harper should mind his own business and leave domestic issues in the UK to it's citizens." "More pontificating from the CON Pontiff, nothing good can come of offering any comments on this issue. We would not welcome any foreign leader's comments on Quebec independence and Harper should be smart enough to not wade into this topic. He is in over his head on the world stage." "People of Scotland, please don't be mad at Canada because of Stephen Harper poking his long nose into your business. Go ahead and be mad at him. Most Canadians don't like him either." They love him for it.

I can't tell if it was sarcasm or not...

That would be logical. The no vote is rarely about 50% now including DKs.

It's at odds at what I've been told, as well. I can only assume it's going to come out by Sunday...

Someone told me that it showed a Yes lead. I read on Twitter a few days ago - I'll try and find the tweet - that it shows Yes at 55% (excluding undecided voters). The Yes campaign would mostly likely wish for Panelbase to check the numbers to confirm this figure, due to the huge swing towards yes.

They're getting it verified, as YesScotland didn't believe the data - massive swing apparently...

Do you want me to make the yes gains per day larger? As I put at the bottom: "Of course daily swing can rapidly change"

I'd take any win, but the larger the better.

Those YouGov polls revealed in the last month have shown an average of a 0.63% swing to the yes campaign daily. Let's take the swing from the 15th August poll to the 1st September poll (0.46% daily swing towards yes or yes increase 0.23% per day). 1st Sep - 46.8% yes 2nd - 47.0% 3rd - 47.3% 4th - 47.5% 5th - 47.7% 6th - 48.0% 7th - 48.2% 8th - 48.4% 9th - 48.7% 10th - 48.9% 11th - 49.2% 12th - 49.4% 13th - 49.6% 14th - 49.9% 15th - 50.1% 16th - 50.3% 17th - 50.6% 18th - 50.8% If the current rate of swing towards the yes campaign continues, the yes campaign will win by 0.8%. Of course daily swing can rapidly change, but we can hope it doesn't...

The maritime border should run at an equal distance between the countries. A straight line is common.

Salmond is a very good politician, like him or not, and would be able to convince people to vote yes with a clear concise argument. We. Will. Win. This.

The YouGov poll we've been talking about was the poll, but we should have the data tables now.

A couple on "poll analysists" on Twitter. The tables are revealed at 10pm.

Don't Knows splitting 2:1 to yes.

I believe the other one was an internal Yes poll. It may be that within the final month they're not allowed to release it.