The_Dark_Knight

I'll take that as a solid "no" Wow. Ok. At least i was willing to put my money where my mouth is. You must think Scotland have zero chance, too.

Yes. I'd miss it like syphilis... And no, I don't put people on ignore.

Are you not getting this? Ok. There's a pot containing £2k. The winner wins it. No odds. No bookies. No variables. Just old fashioned winner takes all. Yes or not? Last time i'm going to offer it.

Ok? Put me on ignore as you're obviously (i don't like calling people Trolls, as it's too simplicity) not adding to the conversation.

Either you want to want to make the bet or you don't. It's not a difficult one. Winner takes all, and all that.

I actually made a good earlier. In this thread people have said that I'm a time traveller, because i can "predict the future", someone has went on a mad rage, citing odds as the reason, someone also said I've lost my mind. Now I've been called a Troll and i was banned, for some reason. Also that I'm an attention seeker. If anyone thinks one, or more, of the above are true, kindly do us both a favour and put me on " ignore". Thank you.

No?

Didn't you claim to be "done"?

Hold on a minute. When i asked you about eight hours ago to give me the odds of Scotland winning the final, you claimed that you didn't know how to quantify such odds. Now, as f by magic, you're saying that we have a 20% shot. Explain how you got to those odds. And no. It's £1k v £1k. Take it or leave it.

Well, the lad has made a claim, let's see whether or not he can back it up.

No odds, I'm not a bookmaker. Original terms or nothing.

Well, a grand isn't anything to be sniffed at. And he obviously has more faith in Scotland qualifying than i do, therefore, he should accept the terms that have been laid out.

I don't care. I'm not Mr Ladbrokes. If he thinks Scotland will qualify, fine. We'll see if he'll put £1k on it.

We'll keep it as simple as possible. You obviously think Scotland have a better chance of qualifying than I do. So let's put your convictions to the test, shall we? If Scotland win the final, and qualify for Euro. 2020, i give you £1k (I'll transfer it via paypal of a bank transfer) If Scotland lose the final, and fail to qualify for Euro 2020, you give me £1k (via paypal of bank transfer) Deal?

I said "first XI". McBurnie and Burke were on the bench.

Yes. "Up and down". How many times do Celtic tend to lose in a season? Not many. Of course, i was referring ing to matches between Celtic and x. Sure it is. It's a brilliant comparison. Take the previous matches for example, the first XI of Serbia has a transfer market value of £202.5m, whereas, with Scotland it was £26.3m. Now, if you feel that strongly about it, that Scotland have more of a chance against Norway/Serbia as Brechin would against Celtic, then how about putting a little wager on it. I mean, you're fighting me at every turn (and losing), and arguing that white is black, etc, so how's about a little wager? You seem to think that Scotland can triumph, even though you've said that we won't win the final (if we get there), so you're kinda flip-flopping.

Well, it depends, pretty much the entire calendar of the SPL is predictable, barring the Old Firm matches and a couple of freak results here and there. The playoffs, if we get to the final, will be akin to a match between Brechin and Celtic.

You're the one putting my prediction under a microscope... So you tell me. Checking the bookies, apparently.

Yes, i know that you told me, but i want you to give me your prediction in the form of a percent. In your opinion, if we get to the final, what percent would you give us winning?

Predictions aside, we let in two goals against Cyprus and Kazakhstan. If you honestly think we'll be able to beat Norway or Serbia then, either you're nuts or you just don't know anything about football. By debating with me so long, essentially, you're saying that we might qualify. Yes?

The odds of all that happening would've been "astronomical" because it was over a prediction over the course of 270 minutes. I'm not sure what the odds actually were, for those amounts of goals to be scored, but i can guess and say quite large. Unless you know. If you do know, please share. Also, show your work. Exactly. Which is why (aside of making this thread) i have zero interest in the playoffs... Oh wait... I suppose my interest is 0.002%.

I mean, I suppose the weight would shift if the teams we played in the semi and in the final all came down with food poisoning on the night of the matches... But really, what are the odds of that happening?

Thank you. I think you'll find that it's quite obvious that i know more than most people, and yes, even the bookies. Hell, there where people in that thread predicting that we'd beat Russia and Belgium. The odds of us conceding exactly 10 and scoring 0-1 must've been astronomical. So, you see, there's little wriggle room to suggest that our chances of qualifying are more than what I declared (0.002%). No wriggle room, in fact.

And if you look at the predictions for the two matches against Russia and one against Belgium, i wasn't all that far off. I predicted three defeats, that we'd let in 10 goals and score none. The only thing i got wrong was our one goal: https://www.tamb.net/forum/index.php?/topic/14047-predictions-for-the-next-three-matches/&do=findComment&comment=536476

Last night Latvia (143 in the world) played Austria (25 in the world). Austria were strong favourites to win, at odds of 1.16, meanwhile, Latvia were strong outsiders at a whopping 21.00. Latvia won 1:0 If I looked deeper we could find more instances were the bookies got it wrong. How about Tennis? Tsitsipas beat Federer in the ATP Tour semi-final. Federer was strong favourite at 1.30. How about Djokovic getting beat at the hands of Federer, when Djokovic was the favourite at 1.36? There are hundreds and thousands of instances where the bookies are wrong, on a weekly basis.