Briefly popping back in with a more cheerful thought. If we've vaccinated a million 80+ year olds, 60% of whom would be infected in an unmitigated epidemic, if the first jab gives 80% protection, given an IFR of 10% in that age group we've just saved 48,000 lives.

Moar plz.

— Oliver Johnson (@BristOliver) January 10, 2021