Daily Record Poll Due Out Tomorrow Night

[Cove_Sheep]

Survation ‏@Survation 3h

On Sept 10th @davieclegg pol editor of @daily_record will release #indyref headline figs at 10.30pm.Tables will then be tweeted by us HERE

[giblet]

hmmmm

[Clyde1998]

I thought they were due tonight...?

[Tartan Tarantula]

Absolutely nothing to read into that in the slightest. That has been planned for a good while. Need to see some movement on Survation and Panelbase.

[giblet]

Survation is usually really good, we should be expecting 55% plus which would be great, however the panelbase one now looks strange with a small increase to YES sandwiched in between the yougov and ICM. It maybe that yougov and ICM were way out before and they are doing a bit of "herding" to make themselves look similiar to the rest.

[Tartan Tarantula]

Panelbase actually showed a small decrease in the Yes vote, but nothing to change the headline figures.

Have read a load of different theories why Panelbase didnt show any shift in comparison to Yougov and TNS, but nothing really strikes me as ringing true. We`ll see tomorrow.

For me, TNS has always been the most important pollster, and that 50-50 (or 49-51 however you want to spin it) is far more significant that a Survation showing a 52% Yes vote.