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How would the last 20 years been different if...


ScotlandWintheWorldCup

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How would the last 20 years been different if we could have just won our games against the 4th,5th and 6th seeds.

Containing the likes of Macedonia, Faroes and Liechtenstein, not exactly teams we shouldn't be beating.

00 - Same - Playoff w/ Eng

02 - Same - still finish 3rd

04 - Same - but would have finished equal 1st with Germany/ Playoff w/Holland

06 - Different - Would have been equal 1st with Italy/ Playoff w/ Czech Rep

08 - Different - Would have qualified 2nd ahead of France

10 - Different - Would have been in Playoffs ahead of Norway in Group and knocked Ireland out of 2nd Place teams

12 - Same - Still behind Czech in 3rd place

14 - Different - Would have been in Playoffs ahead of Croatia

16 - Different - Would have been in Playoffs ahead of Ireland

18 - Different - Would have been in Playoffs ahead of Slovakia and knocked Ireland out of 2nd Place teams

It just shows how poor we have been against the teams we should be beating.  It shows with the right manager we are not far away from getting there.  We don't need to suddenly be beating the Italy's, Poland's or even the likes of Denmark to qualify, just win when we are supposed to!!

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Average points gained against the different seeds over the last 20 years

HOME

#1 = 1.11

#2 = 1.29

#3 = 1.71

#4 = 2.57

#5 = 2.36

#6 = 2.40

 

AWAY

#1 = 0.67

#2 = 0.57

#3 = 0.86

#4 = 1.57

#5 = 2.00

#6 = 1.40

 

Shows where we are losing ground on our rivals to qualify.  Most notably how poor we have been away from home against the #4 and #6 seeds.

But also against the our main rivals for qualifying the #2 seeds, we are poor home and away against them.

I'm just trying to show, maybe we need to go into these games with a different mental attitude instead of looking at the whole qualifying picture.  Play against the bottom seeds like its against eng  and really focus on the #2 seed at home

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On 4/21/2019 at 10:59 AM, ScotlandWintheWorldCup said:

How would the last 20 years been different if we could have just won our games against the 4th,5th and 6th seeds.

Containing the likes of Macedonia, Faroes and Liechtenstein, not exactly teams we shouldn't be beating.

00 - Same - Playoff w/ Eng

02 - Same - still finish 3rd

04 - Same - but would have finished equal 1st with Germany/ Playoff w/Holland

06 - Different - Would have been equal 1st with Italy/ Playoff w/ Czech Rep

08 - Different - Would have qualified 2nd ahead of France

10 - Different - Would have been in Playoffs ahead of Norway in Group and knocked Ireland out of 2nd Place teams

12 - Same - Still behind Czech in 3rd place

14 - Different - Would have been in Playoffs ahead of Croatia

16 - Different - Would have been in Playoffs ahead of Ireland

18 - Different - Would have been in Playoffs ahead of Slovakia and knocked Ireland out of 2nd Place teams

It just shows how poor we have been against the teams we should be beating.  It shows with the right manager we are not far away from getting there.  We don't need to suddenly be beating the Italy's, Poland's or even the likes of Denmark to qualify, just win when we are supposed to!!

Noticed one mistake -

  • 2004 - We'd have won the group ahead of Germany.

The lack of a top forward or two has been a major issue in being able to keep beating the sides lower than us in the rankings/seedings, not to mention an attitude towards these matches which stinks! 

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The two away games in Georgia are the missed opportunities of the last decade.

Win in Georgia in 2007 and I think would've only needed a point at home to Italy which would've been very achievable given how that game panned out.

Win there in 2015 and play off would've been secured and maybe still a chance of finishing above Poland for 2nd place.

 

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