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  1. Those YouGov polls revealed in the last month have shown an average of a 0.63% swing to the yes campaign daily. Let's take the swing from the 15th August poll to the 1st September poll (0.46% daily swing towards yes or yes increase 0.23% per day). 1st Sep - 46.8% yes 2nd - 47.0% 3rd - 47.3% 4th - 47.5% 5th - 47.7% 6th - 48.0% 7th - 48.2% 8th - 48.4% 9th - 48.7% 10th - 48.9% 11th - 49.2% 12th - 49.4% 13th - 49.6% 14th - 49.9% 15th - 50.1% 16th - 50.3% 17th - 50.6% 18th - 50.8% If the current rate of swing towards the yes campaign continues, the yes campaign will win by 0.8%. Of course daily swing can rapidly change, but we can hope it doesn't...
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